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Reduction in corona cases: early signs of second peak decrease

Reduction in corona cases: On the second wave of coronavirus, the central government has claimed that there are signs of new cases coming down in some states. On Monday, Union Health Ministry Joint Secretary Luv Kumar Aggarwal said that in some states including Maharashtra. There has been a decrease in cases during the last two weeks.

 

Reduction in corona cases early signs of second peak decrease

This level of infection notice in 15 districts of Maharashtra. At the same time, the number of patients discharges from hospitals has also increased by up to 20 percent. According to this, the initial signs of second wave weakening are seen in some places.

Apart from Maharashtra, new cases have also come down in Delhi, Punjab, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, and Uttarakhand but are increasing rapidly in Andhra Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Karnataka, Kerala, etc. Therefore, efforts are still being made on corona infection.

It is too early to speak on the situation for two days

 

Experts say there are early signs of a second wave of corona infection. However, right now it is not right to claim it mathematically by estimating the second peak. It can be said that after at least two to three weeks of the same situation. The second wave of corona in India is now beginning to weaken.

Dr. Randeep Guleria, director of AIIMS Delhi, said that more than four lakh cases were found in the country on Saturday. Which followed by 3.92 on Sunday and now 3.68 lakh cases. Apart from these, during the last two weeks. There are also early indications from the recovery of patients and the situation in some districts.

However, how many more days does this sequence last? This is most important. At the same time, former IIT professor Rijo M. John says that on the data of two days or a week, it cannot decide that the second peak of infection pass in the country. If you look at the current situation, some assessments can be done only after getting a similar trend for at least 21 days.

Reduction in corona, Less than one lakh active patients in 24 states

 

According to the Ministry of Health, there are currently 24 states in the country where the number of active patients is less than one lakh. Of these 17 states, this figure is less than 50 thousand. However, in 12 states, the number of patients under treatment still remains more than one lakh.

This is the situation in states of infection rate

 

The ministry claims early signs of second wave weakening, but even if infection rates noted. There are still 22 states where it is more than 15 percent.

Apart from these, the infection rate in nine states is 5 to 15 percent and in only five states it is less than five percent. According to the World Health Organization, the condition can easily control by up to five percent infection rate.

Signs  found in these states

 

According to the Ministry of Health, in Chhattisgarh, Daman and Diu, Delhi, Gujarat, Jharkhand, Ladakh, Lakshadweep, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Punjab, Telangana, Uttar Pradesh, and Uttarakhand. There are indications that the cases of infection are getting reduce every day.

While cases are increasing in Andaman and Nicobar, Andhra Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chandigarh, Goa, Haryana, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu Kashmir, Karnataka, and Kerala. Apart from these, new cases are also increasing in Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, Odisha, Pondicherry, Rajasthan, Sikkim, Tamil Nadu, Tripura, and West Bengal.

Increased gap between new cases and discharges

 

Joint Secretary Luv Kumar Aggarwal said that if we see the difference between an infected patient and discharge cases every day, then it has increased very fast. On April 20, 1,54,761 patients were discharged. While 2,59,170 new cases reported.

During that time a difference of 60 percent was found between them but on the last day, this difference has been recorded up to 82 percent. Although the gap had reached 50 percent between 21 and 24 April. It started improving as the number of discharged patients increased.

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